James
Rickards, the author of The Death of
Money: The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System (a must
read) has written a great article about the real economic conditions of America
today. Below is a summary of important facts.
Listening
to mainstream market commentary on television and reading the financial press
leaves one with the impression that the economic recovery is gaining strength
and that stock market indices, at or near all-time highs, will go higher still.
But, the facts show that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy are awful and getting
worse.
(1) It was
reported that 288,000 jobs were created in June, but full-time jobs declined by
523,000 while part time jobs increased by about 800,000. Part-time jobs offer fewer
hours, lower pay and few benefits.
(2) There are
7.5 million people working part-time on an involuntary basis compared to about
4.4 million doing so in 2007. Employers are aware of this and simply cut
full-time jobs and replace them with part-timers to reduce costs.
(3) Much of the
decline in the declining unemployment rate is attributable not to job creation
but to the declining number of people looking for work. According to the “rigged
standard” they use, once people stop looking for a job, they are no longer
technically “unemployed” and no longer counted as “unemployed.” The
unemployment rate would be zero if everyone stopped looking for work. Only
62.8% of Americans participate in the work force today.
(4) Productivity
of those working is now in decline.
(5) Real wages
are stagnant.
(6) Over 50
million on food stamps, 11 million on disability, and millions more on extended
unemployment benefits.
(7) These are
the real reasons for the shocking 2.9 percent decline in first quarter GDP. It was
not the result of “cold weather.”
You
should also be aware of the following:
(1) China is
slowing precipitously and may be on the brink of a credit collapse.
(2) European
growth is near zero.
(3) The mighty
German economy is slowing partly because of weaker demand from Ukraine, Russia
and China.
(4) U.S.
financial markets appear to be growing bubbles.
(5) US stock
indices are at all-time highs while economic fundamentals fall apart.
(6) The
structural reform that is required for a turnaround can only come from
structural reform, which is the job of the White House and Congress, not the
Federal Reserve. This looks unlikely because they are barely speaking.
Read
the complete article at – http://www.darientimes.com/33772/rickards-stock-market-reality-check/
For
information about The Death of Money
or to purchase it go to -- http://www.amazon.com/The-Death-Money-Collapse-International/dp/1591846706/ref=as_sl_pc_tf_til?tag=thebiblicalherit&linkCode=w00&linkId=DNKTKXFS5M3YGCU6&creativeASIN=1591846706
That's today's cogitation!
JM
That's today's cogitation!
JM
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